SignalMacro

CBOE Volatility Index $15.05 ↑ 1.6% 18th %ile (complacency) • KXINX 60.0% — 7,750 to 7,775

Kalshi: KXINX 60.0% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

What changed

Kalshi: KXINX 60.0% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7750 and 7774.9999 on Sep 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Percentile: 18th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

VIX at 11th percentile signals complacency, with Kalshi pricing 19.5% odds S&P 500 at 7,650–7,675.

Sources

futures